Impact of the Project is Aligned with: Current project: Improved rural household incomes in the four northern provinces of Bokeo, Louang-Namtha, Oudomxai, and Phongsali Overall project: Unchanged and is aligned with Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry’s (MAF) Agricultural Development Strategy to 2025 and Vision to the year 2030 |
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Results Chain | Performance Indicators with Targets and Baselines | Data Sources and Reporting Mechanisms | Risks |
Outcome | |||
Current project | Current project | Key commercial crop production statistical reports by provincial and district agriculture and forestry offices | Agricultural productivity, diversity, and intensity are reduced because of inadequate water availability |
Increased agricultural productivity in the four northern provinces of Bokeo, Louang-Namtha, Oudomxai, and Phongsali | Agriculture productivity in rice equivalent increased from 3 tons/ha in 2010 to 5 tons/ha by 2017 | ||
Overall project | Overall project | ||
Unchanged | Agriculture productivity in rice equivalent increased from 3 tons/ha in 2010 to 5 tons/ha by 2022 | ||
Outputs | |||
Output 1 | 1a. | 1a–1c. | 1a–1b. |
Current project Production and productivity-enhancing rural infrastructure constructed and/or rehabilitated Overall project Unchanged | Current project An estimated 2,900 ha of command area served by rehabilitated gravity irrigation structures by 2017 Overall project An estimated 12,100 ha of command area served by rehabilitated gravity irrigation structures by 2021 | NPMO and PPO quarterly progress and monitoring reports; NPMO and PPO consolidated subproject completion reports | Climatic instability or watershed deterioration causes stream flows that lead to interruptions in implementation or damage during or after subproject construction, or reduce irrigated areas. |
1b. | |||
Current project 155 kilometers of rural access roads rehabilitated by 2017 Overall project 225 kilometers of rural access roads rehabilitated by 2021 | |||
1c. | |||
Current project Women have equal opportunity to access employment for construction activities by 2017, with equal pay for equal work Overall project Women have equal opportunity to access employment for construction activities through 2021, with equal pay for equal work | |||
Output 2 | 2a. | 2a. | |
Current project Productivity and impact-enhancing initiatives adopted Overall project Unchanged | Current project 25 producer and water user groups formed by February 2017, with women comprising 30% of their members Overall project 48 water user groups and farm producer groups operating by December 2021, with women comprising 30% of their members | NPMO and PPO quarterly progress and monitoring reports | |
2b. | 2b. | 2b. | |
Current project 25 producer groups supply contracts ratified by district agriculture and forestry offices by February 2017 to supply private processors for value-addition through processing Overall project 48 water farm producer groups supply contracts ratified by district agriculture and forestry offices by December 2021 to supply private processors for value addition through processing | Accomplishment reports of district registrar of producer cooperatives involved in the marketing of agricultural produce | Government commercial requirements have low predictability | |
2c. | 2c. | 2c. | |
Current project 20 catchment management plans with associated land rezoning implemented by 2017 Overall project 35 watershed management plans with associated land rezoning implemented; cadastral maps for 48 subprojects irrigation command areas and at least 5,000 water user group members obtain land ownership certificates by June 2022 | District governor approvals of land-use and zoning plans; NPMO and PPO training completion reports | Uncontrolled and improper land use hampers effective plan implementation. Government officials implement the land ownership process slowly | |
2d. | 2d. | ||
Current project Extension services designed for and delivered to women, with 30% of extension training for women, by 2016 Overall project Extension services designed for and delivered to women, with 30% of extension training for women, by December 2021 | NPMO and PPO quarterly progress and monitoring reports | ||
Output 4 | 4a. | 4a. | 4a. |
Current project Project managed and subprojects delivered efficiently and effectively Overall project Unchanged | Current project 5 key implementation consultants mobilized within 3 months of grant effectiveness; project performance and monitoring system disaggregated by gender and ethno linguistic group operational within 12 months of effectiveness Overall project All key implementation consultants mobilized before loan effectiveness | Notice to proceed from NPMO | Staff turnover is high, and finance and procurement skills are in short supply in the labor market. |
4b. | 4b. | ||
Current project At least 20% of NPMO and PPO staff (excluding secretarial and administrative staff) are women Overall project Unchanged | NPMO and PPO quarterly progress and monitoring reports; staff registry in NPMO and PPOs | ||
Activities with Milestones | |||
1. Production and productivity-enhancing rural infrastructure constructed and/or rehabilitated 1.1 For 2 representative subprojects, completed detailed designs by December 2016 and construction by June 2017 (overall project, phase 1) (PSD) 1.2 For 7 subprojects, completed detailed designs by October 2018 and construction by July 2019 (overall project, phase 2) (PSD) 1.3 For 7 subprojects, completed detailed designs by October 2019 and construction by July 2020 (overall project, phase 3) (PSD) 1.4 For 6 subprojects, completed detailed designs by October 2020 and construction by July 2021 (overall project, phase 4) (PSD) 1.5 22 subprojects completed and handed over to relevant authorities for operation by September 2021 | |||
2. Productivity and impact-enhancing initiatives adopted 2.1 48 water user groups and farm producer groups established and trained in villages benefiting from rehabilitated infrastructure (26 completed by March 2017 and 22 by September 2021) (PAR) 2.2 Pro forma public–private partnership agreements and associated arrangements prepared by the end of 2020 (PSD) 2.3 20 watershed management plans and rezoning implementation completed by March 2017 and 12 more completed by September 2021 (GCD) 2.4 Cadastral maps for 48 subproject irrigation command areas completed by September 2019 (GCD) 2.5 Land titling teams equipped and trained by September 2017 (GCD) 2.6 5,000 water user group members obtain land ownership certificates by February 2022 (PSD) 2.7 Implementation of gender action plan by September 2021 (GEM) | |||
3. Capacities of national, provincial, and district agencies strengthened to enable a sector development approach 3.1 An additional 22 workshops and 500 people trained by September 2021 (GCD) 3.2 Irrigation subsector review undertaken by the end of 2018 (KNS) | |||
4. Project managed and subprojects delivered efficiently and effectively 4.1 Continue established project management, monitoring, and reporting procedures to December 2016 4.2 Oudomxai PPO staffed and strengthened to implement subprojects by September 2016 (GCD) 4.3 Contract variation for project implementation consulting services completed by January 2017 4.4 Detailed design and contract document for 2 representative subprojects prepared by December 2016 4.5 Overall project completion report prepared by June 2022 | |||
Note: GCD = governance and capacity development, GEM = gender equity and mainstreaming, ha = hectare, KNS = knowledge solutions, NPMO = national project management office, PAR = partnerships, PPO = provincial project office, PSD = private sector development. |
MAF ADB